South-east Canada floods, 2014
Event type
Rain & flooding
Finding
More severe or more likely to occur"The collective effects of anthropogenic climate change and artificial pond drainage may have played an important role in producing the extreme flood that occurred during early summer 2014 on the southeastern Canadian Prairies."
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Western Canada extreme drought, 2015
Event type
Drought
Finding
More severe or more likely to occur"Analysis results indicate that the 2015 extreme drought in western Canada was likely an outcome of anthropogenically influenced warm spring conditions and naturally forced dry weather from May to July."
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Western Canada fire risk, May 2016
Event type
Wildfire
Finding
More severe or more likely to occur"The combined effect of anthropogenic and natural forcing is estimated to have made extreme fire risk events in the region 1.5 to 6 times as likely compared to a climate that would have been with natural forcings alone."
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North America cold winter, December 2017-January 2018
Event type
Cold, snow & ice
Finding
Insufficient data/inconclusive"Cold outbreaks like this are getting warmer (less frequent) due to global warming, but cold waves still occur somewhere in North America almost every winter."
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Western North America enhanced wildfire risk, 2015-16
Event type
Wildfire
Finding
More severe or more likely to occur"Extreme vapor pressure deficits (VPD) have been associated with enhanced wildfire risk. Using one model, we found for 2015/16 that human influences quintupled the risk of extreme VPD for western North America and increased the risk for extratropical Australia."
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Canada's extreme wildfire season of 2017
Event type
Wildfire
Finding
More severe or more likely to occur"We show over 95% of the probability for the observed maximum temperature anomalies is due to anthropogenic factors, that the event's high fire weather/behaviour metrics were made 2–4 times more likely, and that anthropogenic climate change increased the area burned by a factor of 7–11."
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Alaska marine heatwave, 2016
Event type
Oceans
Finding
More severe or more likely to occur"The 2016 Alaska marine heat wave was unprecedented in terms of sea surface temperatures and ocean heat content, and CMIP5 data suggest human-induced climate change has greatly increased the risk of such anomalies."
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Bering Sea/Gulf of Alaska heatwave, 2016
Event type
Oceans
Finding
More severe or more likely to occur"Two of the longest and most intense marine heat waves in 2016 were up to fifty times more likely due to anthropogenic climate change."
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Rainfall associated with Ottawa River flood, 2019
Event type
Rain & flooding
Finding
More severe or more likely to occur"Anthropogenic forcing increased the likelihood of the 30-day high rainfall over Ontario and Quebec that contributed to the 2019 Ottawa River floods by a factor of 2 to 3."
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Mackenzie river flooding, 2012
Event type
Rain & flooding
Finding
No discernible human influence"No significant effect" of human-caused climate change identified.
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Fraser river flooding, 2012
Event type
Rain & flooding
Finding
More severe or more likely to occur"Three snow-induced floods were enhanced [by climate change] (the Fraser in 2012, Sava in 2010, and Volga in 2012), which is due to increased precipitation."
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Peace river flooding, 2011
Event type
Rain & flooding
Finding
No discernible human influence"No significant effect" of human-caused climate change identified.
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Saskatchewan river flooding, 2013
Event type
Rain & flooding
Finding
No discernible human influence"No significant effect" of human-caused climate change identified.
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North American 'megadrought', 2020–21
Event type
Drought
Finding
More severe or more likely to occur"The multimodel mean anthropogenic climate change trends account for 42% of the southwestern North America soil moisture anomaly in 2000-21 and 19% in 2021."
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British Columbia floods, November 2021
Event type
Rain & flooding
Finding
More severe or more likely to occurFor two-day rainfall, "the probability of events at least this large has been increased by a best estimate of 45% by human-induced climate change."
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Eastern Canada wildfires, 2023
Event type
Wildfire
Finding
More severe or more likely to occur"Climate change made the cumulative severity of Québec’s 2023 fire season to the end of July around 50% more intense, and seasons of this severity at least seven times more likely to occur."
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Alaska & northern Canada February cold extremes, 2019
Event type
Cold, snow & ice
Finding
Decrease, less severe or less likely to occur"[P]erturbed CO2 experiments illuminate increases in CO2, causing a [lower] chance for [cold] extremes. "
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Pacific north-west heatwave, 2021
Event type
Heat
Finding
More severe or more likely to occur"[W]e…show that human influence on the climate made this event at least 8 [2–50] times more likely."
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Canada high fire weather, June 2023
Event type
Wildfire
Finding
More severe or more likely to occur"The fire weather conditions in Canada during June 2023 were 2.9–3.6 times more likely due to anthropogenic forcing."
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