England autumn-winter floods, 2000
Event type
Rain & flooding
Finding
More severe or more likely to occur"For all but one catchment, emissions are likely to have led to an increased chance of flooding in the October–December period."

England & Wales autumn floods, 2000
Event type
Rain & flooding
Finding
More severe or more likely to occur"In nine out of 10 cases, our model results indicate that twentieth-century anthropogenic greenhouse gas emissions increased the risk of floods occurring in England and Wales in autumn 2000 by more than 20%, and in two out of three cases by more than 90%"

England warm November, 2011
Event type
Heat
Finding
More severe or more likely to occur"The warm November of 2011…corresponds to a return period of 20 years in the 2000s, but a return period of 1250 years in the 1960s, an approximately 62 times increase in occurrence."

UK cold winter of 2010-11
Event type
Cold, snow & ice
Finding
Decrease, less severe or less likely to occur"Yet while the odds of such an event have lengthened as a result of human influence on climate, such unlikely events can still happen, as the winter of 2010/11 demonstrated."

England cold December, 2010
Event type
Cold, snow & ice
Finding
Decrease, less severe or less likely to occur"Therefore, a cold December of –0.7°C is half as likely to occur in the 2000s when compared to the 1960s."

Northwestern Europe wet summers, 2007-12
Event type
Rain & flooding
Finding
No discernible human influence"We find no evidence that declines in sea ice can explain these recent wet summers, with the expected response to changes in sea ice since the late 1980s being small."

UK summer high rainfall, 2012
Event type
Rain & flooding
Finding
No discernible human influence"Although the summer UK rainfall in 2012 was unusually large, the model distributions studied suggest that any anthropogenic influence on these patterns was minimal."

UK cold spring, 2013
Event type
Cold, snow & ice
Finding
Decrease, less severe or less likely to occur"Anthropogenic climate change reduced the odds of an extremely cold UK spring in 2013 at least 30 times, as estimated from ensembles of simulations with and without human influences."

Record high central England temperature, 2014
Event type
Heat
Finding
More severe or more likely to occur"With 90% confidence we find that anthropogenic forcings on the climate have increased the chances of record warm years in Central England by at least 13-fold."

UK extreme winter rainfall, 2013-14
Event type
Rain & flooding
Finding
Insufficient data/inconclusive"Extreme winter rainfall in the United Kingdom becomes eight times more likely when the atmospheric circulation resembles winter 2013/14, whereas anthropogenic influence is only discernible in extremes with a shorter duration."

UK extreme storm season, winter 2013-14
Event type
Storm
Finding
No discernible human influence"The all-time record number of storms over the British Isles in winter 2013/14 cannot be linked directly to anthropogenic-induced warming of the tropical west Pacific."

UK record winter sunshine, 2014-15
Event type
Sunshine
Finding
More severe or more likely to occur"Extreme winter sunshine in the United Kingdom, as observed in the record high 2014/15 season, has become more than 1.5 times more likely to occur under the influence of anthropogenic forcings."

Southern England floods, winter 2013-14
Event type
Rain & flooding
Finding
More severe or more likely to occur"In a large ensemble of climate model simulations, we find that, as well as increasing the amount of moisture the atmosphere can hold, anthropogenic warming caused a small but significant increase in the number of January days with westerly flow, both of which increased extreme precipitation."

London summer heatwave deaths, 2003
Event type
Impact
Finding
More severe or more likely to occur"Out of the estimated ~315 and ~735 summer deaths attributed to the heatwave event in Greater London and Central Paris, respectively, 64 (±3) deaths were attributable to anthropogenic climate change in London, and 506 (±51) in Paris."

Central England temperature record, 2014
Event type
Heat
Finding
More severe or more likely to occur"Human‐induced climate change increased the chance of setting a new heat record in the CET [Central England Temperature] in 2014 by at least a factor 35."

Europe heatwave, June 2017 (UK)
Event type
Heat
Finding
More severe or more likely to occur"The team found that climate change made the intensity and frequency of such extreme heat at least twice as likely in Belgium, at least four times as likely in France, Switzerland, the Netherlands, and central England and at least 10 times as likely in Portugal and Spain".

Storm Desmond-like heavy rains in UK, December 2015
Event type
Storm
Finding
More severe or more likely to occur"The overall result of the analysis is similar to the real-time analysis with a best estimate of a 59% increase in event frequency [as a result of climate change]."

UK 'extremely cold start' to spring 2018
Event type
Cold, snow & ice
Finding
Decrease, less severe or less likely to occur"Observational and model analyses suggest a 6- and 12-fold increase in the likelihood of extremely cold days in March in central England, as in year 2018, without anthropogenic climate change."

Scotland heatwave, 2018
Event type
Heat
Finding
More severe or more likely to occur"Anthropogenic climate change since 1850 has made all these high-temperature extremes more likely."

UK local temperatures exceeding 30, 35 and 40C, 1960-2019
Event type
Heat
Finding
More severe or more likely to occur"Compared with the natural world, there are now more areas likely to see temperatures exceeding 30 or 35C, while the 40C threshold is still very rare, even in the southeast."

UK's third warmest year on record, 2020
Event type
Heat
Finding
More severe or more likely to occurIncluding climate change, the "likelihood estimate increases by around a factor of 50, to 56% (range 53–58%). This suggests that we now expect a year as warm as 2020 every other year."

UK extremely warm days, winter 2018-19
Event type
Heat
Finding
More severe or more likely to occur"Extremely warm winter days in central England, as in 2018/19, are still very rare, but human influence is estimated to have made them about 300 times more likely."

Record-breaking UK daily rainfall in October 2020
Event type
Rain & flooding
Finding
More severe or more likely to occur"The record rainfall of the wettest day in year 2020 is estimated to have become about 2.5 times more likely because of human influence."

Mortality from UK heatwave, 2003
Event type
Impact
Finding
More severe or more likely to occurFindings show that 1,117 "excess deaths are directly attributable to human-induced climate change".

Mortality from UK heatwave, 2018
Event type
Impact
Finding
More severe or more likely to occurFindings show that 432 "excess deaths are directly attributable to human-induced climate change".

Damages from UK flooding, autumn 2000
Event type
Impact
Finding
More severe or more likely to occur"Estimated attributable damages from UK flood events" to human-caused climate change amounts to $3.5bn.

Damages from UK flooding, summer 2007
Event type
Impact
Finding
More severe or more likely to occur"Estimated attributable damages from UK flood events" to human-caused climate change amounts to $4.2bn.

Damages from UK flooding, winter 2013-14
Event type
Impact
Finding
More severe or more likely to occur"Estimated attributable damages from UK flood events" to human-caused climate change amounts to $450m.

Damages from UK flooding, winter 2015-16
Event type
Impact
Finding
More severe or more likely to occur"Estimated attributable damages from UK flood events" to human-caused climate change amounts to $805m.

UK 40C heat, July 2022
Event type
Heat
Finding
More severe or more likely to occur"Human-caused climate change made the event at least 10 times more likely. In the models, the same event would be about 2C less hot in a 1.2C cooler world."

UK extremely wet May, 2021
Event type
Rain & flooding
Finding
More severe or more likely to occur"Human influence and persistent low pressure are estimated to make extreme May rainfall in the United Kingdom, as in year 2021, about 1.5 and 3.5 times more likely, respectively."

UK winter rainfall extremes, 2015 & 2020
Event type
Rain & flooding
Finding
More severe or more likely to occur"[F]or all five events we found a significant climate signal in the extreme regional rainfall totals immediately preceding the flooding."

Storm Eunice, February 2022
Event type
Storm
Finding
More severe or more likely to occur"Our results robustly indicate that Eunice has become more intense with climate change and similar storms will continue to intensify with further anthropogenic forcing."

UK and Ireland winter storm rainfall, 2024
Event type
Storm
Finding
More severe or more likely to occur" Autumn and winter storm rainfall in the UK and Ireland was made about 20% heavier by human-caused climate change."
